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The asymptotic behaviors of self excitation information diffusion processes for a large number of individuals

Published 10 Jul 2018 in math.PR, cs.CY, and cs.SI | (1807.03783v3)

Abstract: The dynamics of opinion is a complex and interesting process, especially for the systems with large number individuals. It is usually hard to describe the evolutionary features of these systems. In this paper, we study the self excitation opinion model, which has been shown the superior performance in learning and predicting opinions. We study the asymptotic behaviors of this model for large number of individuals, and prove that the asymptotic behaviors of the model in which the interaction is a multivariate self excitation process with exponential function weight, can be described by a Mckean-Vlasov type integro differential equation. The coupling between this equation and the initial distribution captures the influence of self excitation process, which decribes the mutually- exicting and recurrent nature of individuals. Finally we show that the steady state distribution is a "contraction" of the initial distribution in the linear interaction cases.

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