Adaptive MPC with Chance Constraints for FIR Systems

Abstract: This paper proposes an adaptive stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy for stable linear time invariant systems in the presence of bounded disturbances. We consider multi-input multi-output systems that can be expressed by a finite impulse response model, whose parameters we estimate using a linear Recursive Least Squares algorithm. Building on the work of [1],[2], our approach is able to handle hard input constraints and probabilistic output constraints. By using tools from distributionally robust optimization, we formulate our MPC design task as a convex optimization problem that can be solved using existing tools. Furthermore, we show that our adaptive stochastic MPC algorithm is persistently feasible. The efficacy of the developed algorithm is demonstrated in a numerical example and the results are compared with the adaptive robust MPC algorithm of [2].