A machine-compiled macroevolutionary history of Phanerozoic life

Abstract: Many aspects of macroevolutionary theory and our understanding of biotic responses to global environmental change derive from literature-based compilations of palaeontological data. Existing manually assembled databases are, however, incomplete and difficult to assess and enhance. Here, we develop and validate the quality of a machine reading system, PaleoDeepDive, that automatically locates and extracts data from heterogeneous text, tables, and figures in publications. PaleoDeepDive performs comparably to humans in complex data extraction and inference tasks and generates congruent synthetic macroevolutionary results. Unlike traditional databases, PaleoDeepDive produces a probabilistic database that systematically improves as information is added. We also show that the system can readily accommodate sophisticated data types, such as morphological data in biological illustrations and associated textual descriptions. Our machine reading approach to scientific data integration and synthesis brings within reach many questions that are currently underdetermined and does so in ways that may stimulate entirely new modes of inquiry.