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Inner Heliospheric Evolution of a "Stealth" CME Derived From Multi-view Imaging and Multipoint In--situ observations: I. Propagation to 1 AU

Published 27 Nov 2013 in astro-ph.SR | (1311.6895v1)

Abstract: Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the main driver of Space Weather. Therefore, a precise forecasting of their likely geo-effectiveness relies on an accurate tracking of their morphological and kinematical evolution throughout the interplanetary medium. However, single view-point observations require many assumptions to model the development of the features of CMEs, the most common hypotheses were those of radial propagation and self-similar expansion. The use of different view-points shows that at least for some cases, those assumptions are no longer valid. From radial propagation, typical attributes that can now been confirmed to exist are; over-expansion, and/or rotation along the propagation axis. Understanding of the 3D development and evolution of the CME features will help to establish the connection between remote and in-situ observations, and hence help forecast Space Weather. We present an analysis of the morphological and kinematical evolution of a STEREO B-directed CME on 2009 August 25-27. By means of a comprehensive analysis of remote imaging observations provided by SOHO, STEREO and SDO missions, and in-situ measurements recorded by Wind, ACE, and MESSENGER, we prove in this paper that the event exhibits signatures of deflection, which are usually associated to changes in the direction of propagation and/or also with rotation. The interaction with other magnetic obstacles could act as a catalyst of deflection or rotation effects. We propose, also, a method to investigate the change of the CME Tilt from the analysis of height-time direct measurements. If this method is validated in further work, it may have important implications for space weather studies because it will allow infer ICME orientation.

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