Generating Bayesian Networks from Probability Logic Knowledge Bases

Abstract: We present a method for dynamically generating Bayesian networks from knowledge bases consisting of first-order probability logic sentences. We present a subset of probability logic sufficient for representing the class of Bayesian networks with discrete-valued nodes. We impose constraints on the form of the sentences that guarantee that the knowledge base contains all the probabilistic information necessary to generate a network. We define the concept of d-separation for knowledge bases and prove that a knowledge base with independence conditions defined by d-separation is a complete specification of a probability distribution. We present a network generation algorithm that, given an inference problem in the form of a query Q and a set of evidence E, generates a network to compute P(Q|E). We prove the algorithm to be correct.