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STEHM: Habitability of Small Rocky Planets

Updated 4 July 2026
  • The paper presents STEHM, an atmosphere-retention model that identifies a critical size (~0.8 R⊕) for sustaining multi-gigayear CO2 atmospheres.
  • It couples interior structure, stagnant-lid thermal evolution, melt production, and atmospheric escape to simulate sub-Earth habitability.
  • The study highlights how variations in volatile inventory, tectonic regime, and orbital distance can critically affect atmospheric retention outcomes.

Searching arXiv for the cited STEHM and related habitability papers to ground the article. {"query":"(Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026) Smaller Than Earth Habitability Model (Rushby et al., 2018) Long Term Planetary Habitability and the Carbonate-Silicate Cycle", "max_results": 5} Searching arXiv for the STEHM paper and its antecedent long-term habitability model. to=arxiv_search 大发娱乐 皇轩=json {"query":"(Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026) OR (Rushby et al., 2018)", "max_results": 10} Smaller Than Earth Habitability Model (STEHM) is a model developed to answer the question, “What is the minimum size of a rocky planet in the habitable zone of a Sun-like star that can hold onto a long-lived (multi-gigayear) atmosphere?” It examines planets from 1.0R1.0\,R_\oplus down to 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus under a coupled treatment of interior structure, stagnant-lid thermal evolution, melt production and CO2_2 outgassing, and time-dependent atmospheric escape (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026). In the broader habitability literature, STEHM sits alongside size-dependent climate and carbon-cycle formulations in which equilibrium pCO2p_{\rm CO_2} and TsurfT_{\rm surf} are solved as functions of stellar insolation and planet size, including the carbonate-silicate framework developed for planets between $0.5$ and 2R2\,R_\oplus (Rushby et al., 2018).

1. Scientific question and observational role

STEHM was developed because observational surveys such as Kepler, TESS, and future PLATO are finding ever-smaller planets, and many of these objects will lie in the classical liquid-water habitable zone. The central claim of the model is that orbital placement within the habitable zone is not by itself sufficient: if a planet cannot retain a substantial atmosphere, surface water, let alone life, is impossible (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

Within that framing, STEHM is explicitly an atmosphere-retention model for rocky habitable-zone planets around a Sun-like star. Its stated purpose is to identify a lower-size limit for atmosphere retention and thereby help prioritize which small exoplanets are realistic candidates for follow-up atmospheric characterization with facilities such as JWST and the ELTs (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

The model’s default result is a critical radius of approximately 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus at 1AU1\,\mathrm{AU} under Earth-like assumptions. Planets in the $0.7$–0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus0 regime are treated as borderline cases whose atmospheric fate depends on formation conditions and early evolution rather than on radius alone (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

2. Boundary conditions, tectonic regime, and coupled modules

STEHM assumes a stagnant-lid tectonic regime: no plate tectonics, and an immobile lithosphere that conducts internal heat. Composition is taken to be Earth-like bulk silicate mantle composition and core-mantle fraction, with carbon and heat-producing elements (U, Th, K) beginning with Earth-scaled abundances, subject to systematic variation (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

The atmosphere is pure CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus1. In the model description this is justified as a “best-case” for retention, because CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus2 is the heaviest major greenhouse gas and, with its 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus3 cooling band, is the hardest common molecule to strip thermally (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026). The host star is a solar analog with XUV evolution given by Ribas et al. (2005), renormalized so present-day solar XUV matches observations, and capped at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus4 modern XUV for the first 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus5 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

The model architecture is modular. ExoPlex provides static interior structure and enforces mass-radius-gravity self-consistency from 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus6 down to 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus7 for a default core radius fraction of 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus8. A thermal-degassing code following Foley & Smye (2018) provides melt production, crustal growth, and CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus9 outgassing. An atmospheric-escape code based on Tian (2009) and Kite et al. (2020) provides Jeans and hydrodynamic escape rates (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

This set of assumptions sharply defines the scope of the model. It is not a general theory of rocky-planet habitability; it is a specific stagnant-lid, pure-CO2_20, Sun-like-star framework for determining the lower size limit for long-term atmospheric survival.

3. Interior structure, thermal evolution, outgassing, and escape

STEHM does not use a simple analytical mass-radius law in its primary implementation. Instead, ExoPlex solves the one-dimensional hydrostatic equations

2_21

with convergence criterion 2_22 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026). For quick estimates, the model description notes that one often uses

2_23

for rocky planets (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

The thermal evolution of the convecting mantle is governed by

2_24

where 2_25 is radiogenic heating from U2_26, U2_27, Th2_28, and K2_29. Conductive heat loss through the stagnant lithosphere is

pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}0

and the lid thickness follows boundary-layer scaling,

pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}1

with pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}2–pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}3 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

Outgassing is tied to melt production. When upwelling mantle crosses the solidus pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}4, melt fraction pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}5 produces crust at rate pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}6. All melt is assumed to reach the surface (“all-melt degassing”) and carries the incompatible carbon: pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}7 Atmospheric escape is then computed as the sum of thermal and, when appropriate, hydrodynamic loss. The Jeans escape flux is

pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}8

and the energy-limited hydrodynamic rate is

pCO2p_{\rm CO_2}9

with TsurfT_{\rm surf}0 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

The stellar forcing is time dependent: TsurfT_{\rm surf}1 with TsurfT_{\rm surf}2 normalized so that TsurfT_{\rm surf}3 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026). In operational terms, atmospheric longevity in STEHM is the competition between declining interior outgassing and declining stellar XUV-driven escape.

4. Parameterization and numerical integration

The primary parameters varied in STEHM are the initial mantle carbon budget, heat-producing element abundances, initial mantle temperature, core radius fraction, orbital distance, and exobase temperature (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

Parameter Default Variation
Initial mantle C budget TsurfT_{\rm surf}4 TsurfT_{\rm surf}5–TsurfT_{\rm surf}6; also TsurfT_{\rm surf}7–TsurfT_{\rm surf}8
HPE abundances Solar U: TsurfT_{\rm surf}9–$0.5$0Solar; Th: $0.5$1–$0.5$2Solar; K: $0.5$3–$0.5$4Solar
Initial mantle $0.5$5 $0.5$6 $0.5$7–$0.5$8
Core Radius Fraction $0.5$9 2R2\,R_\oplus0–2R2\,R_\oplus1
Orbital distance 2R2\,R_\oplus2 2R2\,R_\oplus3–2R2\,R_\oplus4
Exobase temperature 2R2\,R_\oplus5 2R2\,R_\oplus6

The model is integrated from 2R2\,R_\oplus7 to 2R2\,R_\oplus8, or until the atmosphere is irreversibly lost and degassing stops, with 2R2\,R_\oplus9 and adaptive stepping to ensure less than 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus0 change in 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus1 or 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus2 per step (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026). At each time step, the sequence is: update 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus3; solve 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus4 via finite difference for 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus5 and 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus6; compute melt production, crustal growth, and outgassing; compute 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus7 and the escape flux; and update 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus8, recording the atmosphere-loss time if 0.8R0.8\,R_\oplus9 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

Sensitivity analyses vary each primary parameter independently across its literature range while holding the others at default values, with convergence defined by negligible changes, less than 1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}0 in key variables, on halving 1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}1 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026). This design isolates parameter influence rather than sampling a joint uncertainty distribution.

5. Critical radius, atmospheric outcomes, and parameter dependence

Under the default Earth-like case at 1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}2, 1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}3 exobase temperature, and Solar HPE abundance, STEHM finds that planets 1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}4 maintain convectively sustained outgassing that balances escape (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

Radius Atmospheric outcome End state
1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}5 Atmosphere maintained 1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}6 CO1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}7
1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}8 Atmosphere maintained 1AU1\,\mathrm{AU}9 CO$0.7$0
$0.7$1 Atmosphere maintained $0.7$2 CO$0.7$3
$0.7$4 Lost by $0.7$5, briefly regained, then lost again $0.7$6 temporary recovery
$0.7$7 Lost early $0.7$8 loss time
$0.7$9 Lost very early 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus00 loss time

Initial carbon inventory is the most influential parameter. The critical radius is reported as approximately

0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus01

The model description emphasizes that orders-of-magnitude differences from Earth values are required to make a significant difference to atmospheric longevity (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

Other parameters produce smaller shifts. Low-HPE cases leave the critical radius at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus02 but reduce end-state CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus03 by 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus04–0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus05; high-HPE cases slightly increase CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus06 and prolong degassing, without changing the threshold. A hot-start case at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus07 gives the same 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus08 threshold, whereas a cold-start case at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus09 delays outgassing until stellar XUV is weaker and extends the threshold to 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus10, with 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus11 end state; the model notes that the origin of cold starts is uncertain (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

Core structure also matters. A no-core end member, maximizing mantle volume together with HPE and C inventory, permits planets 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus12 to regain atmospheres, including 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus13 at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus14. A high-CRF case of 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus15 yields slightly lower CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus16, but the threshold remains 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus17 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026). Orbital distance shifts the retention boundary as well: at the outer CHZ (0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus18) or OHZ (0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus19), planets 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus20 retain atmospheres because XUV is weaker, while at the inner CHZ (0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus21) or OHZ (0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus22) only planets 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus23 retain atmospheres, with pressures of 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus24–0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus25 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

6. Carbonate-silicate antecedent and size-dependent habitable-zone shifts

A related sub-Earth habitability formulation is reconstructed from Rushby et al. in the long-term carbon-cycle framework of planetary habitability (Rushby et al., 2018). There, the biogeochemical carbon cycle is represented by a balance between total volcanic-tectonic CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus26 outgassing and silicate-weathering CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus27 drawdown: 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus28 Internal heat flux controls spreading, subduction, volcanism, and ridge degassing through

0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus29

and the total CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus30 outgassing flux is

0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus31

Silicate weathering is written as

0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus32

with 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus33, 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus34, 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus35, and 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus36 for the sub-Earth formulation (Rushby et al., 2018).

In that model, geophysical and hydrological parameters are scaled to planet radius. For 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus37,

0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus38

and for 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus39,

0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus40

The runoff factor is

0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus41

with 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus42, while the radiative-convective climate model returns

0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus43

for an N0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus44-H0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus45O-CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus46 atmosphere (Rushby et al., 2018).

The reported temperature deviations relative to an Earth twin at the same insolation are size dependent. At 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus47, 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus48 gives 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus49 and 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus50 gives 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus51. At 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus52, the corresponding values are 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus53 and 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus54 (Rushby et al., 2018). These deviations are described as almost linear in 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus55 and larger in magnitude at lower insolation, where the CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus56 greenhouse effect is larger (Rushby et al., 2018).

Habitable-zone boundaries in that framework are defined by 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus57 for the outer edge and 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus58 for the inner edge. The inner edge is essentially size independent at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus59–0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus60, whereas the outer edge moves inward for smaller 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus61: 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus62 at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus63, 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus64 at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus65, and 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus66 at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus67, with 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus68 per Earth radius near 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus69 (Rushby et al., 2018).

7. Interpretation, scope limits, and relation to classical habitable-zone reasoning

STEHM identifies a default critical radius of 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus70 at 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus71, and quantifies how initial volatile inventory, HPE budget, mantle temperature, and core size shift that limit between 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus72 and 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus73 (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026). Within its own assumptions, it therefore provides a ranking criterion for small habitable-zone planets: many 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus74–0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus75 planets are poor targets for transmission or emission spectroscopy because they are expected to have little or no atmosphere, whereas 0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus76–0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus77 objects are conditional candidates whose formation and early evolution histories become decisive (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026).

The model also states its own limitations. It includes no plate tectonics or weathering feedback; the atmosphere is pure CO0.5R0.5\,R_\oplus78; and non-thermal loss, magnetic fields, and magma-ocean atmospheric escape are not included (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026). Conversely, the carbonate-silicate framework emphasizes that radiative-convective habitable-zone limits based on user-specified greenhouse abundances ignore the biogeochemical plausibility of those abundances (Rushby et al., 2018).

Taken together, these two model classes separate two distinct constraints on habitability. Atmosphere retention constrains whether a rocky habitable-zone planet can sustain a long-lived atmosphere at all, while long-term carbon-cycle regulation constrains which atmospheric compositions are geochemically maintainable once an atmosphere exists. This suggests that being in the classical liquid-water habitable zone is a necessary but not sufficient condition in both the atmospheric-retention and carbon-cycle senses (Hill et al., 30 Apr 2026, Rushby et al., 2018).

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