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Mutual Impact Analysis of OSS (MIAO)

Updated 5 July 2026
  • The paper introduces MIAO as an automated method using SVAR and impulse response functions to quantify directional competitive influence among OSS projects.
  • It employs time-series analysis of commit activity and shock propagation to distinguish REV from non-REV cases with up to 0.81 accuracy in retrospective evaluation.
  • The study adapts economic modeling techniques to provide an early-warning tool for OSS sustainability by measuring asymmetric influence over time.

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