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Folded Normal Distribution

Updated 5 July 2026
  • Folded Normal is defined as the distribution of |Y| when Y follows N(μ,σ²), with μ identifiable only up to sign.
  • Key methodologies include derivation of the density, transforms, moments, and maximum-likelihood estimation, highlighting nonregular asymptotics at μ = 0.
  • Practical applications cover modeling absolute deviations, process capability indices, and extensions to multivariate folding in statistical analyses.

Searching arXiv for recent and foundational papers on the folded normal distribution. The folded normal distribution, denoted FN(μ,σ2)FN(\mu,\sigma^2), is the distribution of X=YX=|Y| when YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2). It is supported on [0,)[0,\infty), inherits its parameters from the underlying normal law, and reduces to the half-normal at μ=0\mu=0. Because folding removes the sign of the latent Gaussian variable, the statistical model is identifiable only up to ±μ\pm \mu. Classical analyses develop its density, distribution function, transforms, moments, entropy, and maximum-likelihood estimation, while recent work treats it as a prototypical nonregular model whose asymptotic behavior changes qualitatively at the kink μ=0\mu=0 [(Tsagris et al., 2014); (Mallik, 25 Aug 2025)].

1. Definition, parameterization, and elementary representations

Let

YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,

and define

X=Y.X=|Y|.

Then XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2). For X=YX=|Y|0, the density is

X=YX=|Y|1

and the distribution function is

X=YX=|Y|2

Equivalently, the law is obtained by summing the left and right Gaussian densities after reflection onto the positive half-axis. The support is X=YX=|Y|3, and X=YX=|Y|4, so only X=YX=|Y|5 is identified (Mallik, 25 Aug 2025).

The parameter X=YX=|Y|6 is the mean of the underlying normal variable, not the mean of the observed nonnegative variable X=YX=|Y|7. For modeling, the ratio

X=YX=|Y|8

is especially important, because many qualitative properties depend primarily on X=YX=|Y|9. When YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)0, the folded normal reduces to the half-normal. If YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)1, then YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)2 is a noncentral YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)3 distribution with YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)4 degree of freedom and noncentrality parameter YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)5 (Tsagris et al., 2014).

2. Distributional properties, transforms, and information measures

Tsagris, Beneki, and Hassani derived the characteristic function and moment generating function explicitly. The characteristic function is

YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)6

and the moment generating function is

YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)7

These formulas imply existence of moments of all orders and provide a direct route to cumulants and higher-order expansions (Tsagris et al., 2014).

The first two moments take the standard folded-normal form

YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)8

YN(μ,σ2)Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)9

The mode does not admit a closed form in general; differentiating the density yields the nonlinear equation

[0,)[0,\infty)0

Numerically, the maximum is at [0,)[0,\infty)1 when [0,)[0,\infty)2, while for [0,)[0,\infty)3 the mode occurs at some [0,)[0,\infty)4. For [0,)[0,\infty)5, the mode approaches [0,)[0,\infty)6, and the folded normal becomes very close to the underlying normal truncated to the positive axis. The distribution is not an exponential family and is not stable under addition (Tsagris et al., 2014).

Entropy and Kullback–Leibler divergences to the normal and half-normal do not simplify to elementary closed forms in the treatment of (Tsagris et al., 2014). They are approximated by Taylor expansions involving the same basic integral

[0,)[0,\infty)7

The reported numerical behavior is that these Taylor approximations work well for moderate or large [0,)[0,\infty)8, whereas for small [0,)[0,\infty)9 direct numerical integration is preferable (Tsagris et al., 2014).

3. Likelihood geometry, identifiability, and maximum likelihood estimation

For observations μ=0\mu=00, the sample log-likelihood can be written as

μ=0\mu=01

Because μ=0\mu=02, the true identification set is

μ=0\mu=03

Identifiability up to sign can be proved from two invariants of the distribution: the second moment,

μ=0\mu=04

and the density at zero,

μ=0\mu=05

These determine μ=0\mu=06 and μ=0\mu=07 uniquely (Mallik, 25 Aug 2025).

A central structural fact is boundary coercivity of the profiled likelihood. Let

μ=0\mu=08

If μ=0\mu=09, then for all ±μ\pm \mu0,

±μ\pm \mu1

and

±μ\pm \mu2

This yields existence of a maximizer in ±μ\pm \mu3 for nonconstant data. For fully degenerate samples ±μ\pm \mu4 or ±μ\pm \mu5, the supremum of the likelihood is ±μ\pm \mu6, so those cases are excluded from the main asymptotic theory (Mallik, 25 Aug 2025).

For fixed ±μ\pm \mu7, the likelihood in ±μ\pm \mu8 is unimodal on ±μ\pm \mu9. Writing

μ=0\mu=00

the maximizer satisfies μ=0\mu=01. If μ=0\mu=02, then the unique maximizer is μ=0\mu=03; if μ=0\mu=04, there is a unique positive maximizer. The implicit-function analysis in (Mallik, 25 Aug 2025) shows that μ=0\mu=05 is μ=0\mu=06 on the region where it is positive and is strictly decreasing in μ=0\mu=07. The profiled derivative has a one-crossing property, so there is a unique μ=0\mu=08, and the full MLE set is

μ=0\mu=09

4. Nonregularity at the kink and asymptotic regimes

The folded normal is nonregular because the usual regularity conditions fail at YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,0. The pointwise log-likelihood has YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,1-score

YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,2

so at YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,3,

YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,4

Thus the Fisher information matrix is singular in the YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,5-direction at the kink, although it is continuous in YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,6 and positive definite when YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,7 (Mallik, 25 Aug 2025).

The sharp asymptotic distinction is summarized below.

Regime Main asymptotic statement Consequence
YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,8 YN(μ,σ2),μR, σ>0,Y\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2), \qquad \mu\in\mathbb R,\ \sigma>0,9 Regular asymptotic normality
X=Y.X=|Y|.0 X=Y.X=|Y|.1, while X=Y.X=|Y|.2 Mixed rates and non-Gaussian limit for location

At X=Y.X=|Y|.3, the relevant local expansion comes from a sixth-order expansion of X=Y.X=|Y|.4,

X=Y.X=|Y|.5

On the local scale X=Y.X=|Y|.6, the likelihood contrast converges to a random quadratic-minus-quartic limit

X=Y.X=|Y|.7

with X=Y.X=|Y|.8 and X=Y.X=|Y|.9. The argmax of this limit yields the non-Gaussian distribution of XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)0. By contrast, the XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)1-direction remains regular and retains a XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)2 rate. The Hausdorff distance from the estimated identification set to the true set is therefore governed by the slower rate: XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)3 Consistency itself follows from coercivity, explicit uniform laws of large numbers, and strict Kullback–Leibler separation away from XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)4 (Mallik, 25 Aug 2025).

5. Multivariate folding and the extended skew-normal framework

The folded normal is the one-dimensional instance of a more general componentwise folding operation. If XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)5 has pdf XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)6 and

XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)7

then for XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)8,

XFN(μ,σ2)X\sim FN(\mu,\sigma^2)9

where X=YX=|Y|00 and X=YX=|Y|01. This sign-sum representation gives the multivariate folded distribution in full generality (Galarza et al., 2020).

A particularly useful extension is the folded extended skew-normal (ESN) family. If

X=YX=|Y|02

then X=YX=|Y|03 has density

X=YX=|Y|04

The ordinary folded normal is the special case

X=YX=|Y|05

Within this framework, arbitrary truncated and folded ESN moments can be computed by recurrence relations, and any truncated ESN moment can be expressed as a corresponding moment of a higher-dimensional truncated multivariate normal. This reduction is computationally important because it converts ESN moment evaluation into a truncated-normal problem for which optimized algorithms are available. The R package MomTrunc implements these methods for truncated normal, truncated ESN, folded ESN, and, as a special case, the folded normal (Galarza et al., 2020).

6. Statistical practice, applications, and terminological scope

In likelihood computation, two approaches appear in the literature. One is direct numerical maximization of the log-likelihood, for example via optim; the other uses the score equations

X=YX=|Y|06

as the basis of an iterative MLE scheme. An EM formulation based on latent signs was attempted in (Tsagris et al., 2014) but did not perform as well as direct maximization in the reported experiments. For interval estimation, the same paper found that asymptotic normal confidence intervals perform poorly when X=YX=|Y|07 is small, whereas percentile bootstrap intervals are clearly preferable when X=YX=|Y|08. When X=YX=|Y|09, both methods perform similarly, and for X=YX=|Y|10 the asymptotic intervals for X=YX=|Y|11 achieve close to nominal X=YX=|Y|12 coverage across the reported sample sizes (Tsagris et al., 2014).

Applications mentioned for the folded normal include absolute deviations, process capability indices, and magnitudes of random effects or errors. Within the broader folded and truncated ESN setting, related applications include censored and truncated data in environmental science, finance, longitudinal censored models, and geostatistical models. A specific illustration in (Tsagris et al., 2014) fitted a folded normal model to body mass index data for X=YX=|Y|13 New Zealand adults, with reported estimates

X=YX=|Y|14

That example reflects a regime in which the estimated probability of a negative latent value is essentially zero, so the folded normal behaves very similarly to a normal law on the positive axis (Tsagris et al., 2014).

The term also has an unrelated use outside statistics. In the slow–fast dynamical-systems literature, “folded normal” can refer informally to a folded equilibrium of node type, namely a folded node on a critical manifold. That usage concerns canards, loss of normal hyperbolicity, and piecewise-smooth analogues obtained by pinching, and it is unrelated to the probability distribution X=YX=|Y|15 with X=YX=|Y|16 (Desroches et al., 2015).

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