Physics-informed Gaussian Processes as Linear Model Predictive Controller with Constraint Satisfaction (2511.16195v1)

Abstract: Model Predictive Control evolved as the state of the art paradigm for safety critical control tasks. Control-as-Inference approaches thereof model the constrained optimization problem as a probabilistic inference problem. The constraints have to be implemented into the inference model. A recently introduced physics-informed Gaussian Process method uses Control-as-Inference with a Gaussian likelihood for state constraint modeling, but lacks guarantees of open-loop constraint satisfaction. We mitigate the lack of guarantees via an additional sampling step using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampling in order to obtain safe rollouts of the open-loop dynamics which are then used to obtain an approximation of the truncated normal distribution which has full probability mass in the safe area. We provide formal guarantees of constraint satisfaction while maintaining the ODE structure of the Gaussian Process on a discretized grid. Moreover, we show that we are able to perform optimization of a quadratic cost function by closed form Gaussian Process computations only and introduce the Matérn kernel into the inference model.