A Complete Diagrammatic Calculus for Conditional Gaussian Mixtures

Abstract: We extend the synthetic theories of discrete and Gaussian categorical probability by introducing a diagrammatic calculus for reasoning about hybrid probabilistic models in which continuous random variables, conditioned on discrete ones, follow a multivariate Gaussian distribution. This setting includes important classes of models such as Gaussian mixture models, where each Gaussian component is selected according to a discrete variable. We develop a string diagrammatic syntax for expressing and combining these models, give it a compositional semantics, and equip it with a sound and complete equational theory that characterises when two models represent the same distribution.