Vertical Profile Corrected Satellite NH3 Retrievals Enable Accurate Agricultural Emission Characterization in China (2505.19942v1)

Abstract: Ammonia (NH3) emissions significantly contribute to atmospheric pollution, yet discrepancies exist between bottom-up inventories and satellite-constrained top-down estimates, with the latter typically one-third higher. This study quantifies how assumptions about NH3 vertical distribution in satellite retrievals contribute to this gap. By implementing spatially and temporally resolved vertical profiles from the Community Multiscale Air Quality model to replace steep gradients in Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) retrievals, we reduced satellite-model column discrepancies from 71% to 18%. We subsequently constrained NH3 emissions across China using a hybrid inversion framework combining iterative mass balance and four-dimensional variational methods. Our posterior emissions showed agreement with the a priori inventory (7.9% lower), suggesting that discrepancies between inventory approaches were amplified by overestimation of near-surface NH3 in baseline satellite retrievals, potentially causing a 43% overestimation of growing season emissions. Evaluation against ground-based measurements confirmed improved model performance, with normalized root-mean-square error reductions of 1-27% across six months. These findings demonstrate that accurate representation of vertical profiles in satellite retrievals is critical for robust NH3 emission estimates and can reconcile the long-standing discrepancy between bottom-up and top-down approaches. Our hybrid inversion methodology, leveraging profile-corrected satellite data, reveals that China's NH3 emissions exhibit greater spatial concentration than previously recognized, reflecting agricultural intensification. This advancement enables timely and accurate characterization of rapidly changing agricultural emission patterns, critical for implementing effective nitrogen pollution control measures.