Scaling Laws for Gradient Descent and Sign Descent for Linear Bigram Models under Zipf's Law (2505.19227v1)

Abstract: Recent works have highlighted optimization difficulties faced by gradient descent in training the first and last layers of transformer-based LLMs, which are overcome by optimizers such as Adam. These works suggest that the difficulty is linked to the heavy-tailed distribution of words in text data, where the frequency of the $k$th most frequent word $\pi_k$ is proportional to $1/k$, following Zipf's law. To better understand the impact of the data distribution on training performance, we study a linear bigram model for next-token prediction when the tokens follow a power law $\pi_k \propto 1/k^\alpha$ parameterized by the exponent $\alpha > 0$. We derive optimization scaling laws for deterministic gradient descent and sign descent as a proxy for Adam as a function of the exponent $\alpha$. Existing theoretical investigations in scaling laws assume that the eigenvalues of the data decay as a power law with exponent $\alpha > 1$. This assumption effectively makes the problem finite dimensional'' as most of the loss comes from a few of the largest eigencomponents. In comparison, we show that the problem is more difficult when the data have heavier tails. The case $\alpha = 1$ as found in text data isworst-case'' for gradient descent, in that the number of iterations required to reach a small relative error scales almost linearly with dimension. While the performance of sign descent also depends on the dimension, for Zipf-distributed data the number of iterations scales only with the square-root of the dimension, leading to a large improvement for large vocabularies.