Event Rate Density and Luminosity Function of Newborn-Magnetar-Driven X-Ray Transients from Neutron Star Binary Mergers

Abstract: X-ray transients (XTs) driven by newborn magnetars from mergers of neutron star binaries (NSBs) were occasionally detected in the narrow-field {\it Chandra} Deep Field-South survey (CDF-S) and the {\it Swift}/XRT observations of short gamma-ray bursts (sGRBs). Quantifying their event rate density (ERD) and luminosity function (LF) is critical for understanding NSB coalescence and magnetar formation. Utilizing population synthesis calculations incorporating various equations of state (EoS), we derive a local ERD of $\sim 300\,{\rm Gpc^{-3}\,yr^{-1}}$ and a redshift-dependent ERD profile peaking at $z=1.81$ followed by rapid decline beyond $z \sim 4$. Constructing an XT sample based on CDF-S and {\it Swift} observations, we characterize the LF by a single power-law function at $L \leq 4.75 \times 10^{46}\;{\rm erg\;s^{-1}}$ with a slope of $-1.03$, following by a broken power-law function in which the break luminosity is $L_{\rm b} = 4.38 \times 10^{47}\;{\rm erg\;s^{-1}}$ and the slopes are $-0.28$ and $-1.66$. Based on the ERD and the LF, we estimate that the {\it Einstein Probe} ({\it EP}) detection rate is $\sim 31\;{\rm yr^{-1}}$, adopting a conservative threshold flux of $10^{-9}\;{\rm erg}\;{\rm s^{-1}}$, an luminosity range of $L \in [2\times 10^{44},2\times 10^{49}]\;{\rm erg\;s^{-1}}$, and a correction for jet opening angle of $\sim 16^{\circ}$. This detection rate is consistent with the {\it EP} observations during its first-year operation. It is important to note that our estimation is subject to uncertainties arising from the LF derivation. Future {\it EP} observations of these XT events will be crucial in reducing these uncertainties.