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Foundation models for electronic health records: representation dynamics and transferability (2504.10422v1)

Published 14 Apr 2025 in cs.LG

Abstract: Foundation models (FMs) trained on electronic health records (EHRs) have shown strong performance on a range of clinical prediction tasks. However, adapting these models to local health systems remains challenging due to limited data availability and resource constraints. In this study, we investigated what these models learn and evaluated the transferability of an FM trained on MIMIC-IV to an institutional EHR dataset at the University of Chicago Medical Center. We assessed their ability to identify outlier patients and examined representation-space patient trajectories in relation to future clinical outcomes. We also evaluated the performance of supervised fine-tuned classifiers on both source and target datasets. Our findings offer insights into the adaptability of FMs across different healthcare systems, highlight considerations for their effective implementation, and provide an empirical analysis of the underlying factors that contribute to their predictive performance.

Summary

Insights into Foundation Models for Electronic Health Records: Representation Dynamics and Transferability

The paper "Foundation Models for Electronic Health Records: Representation Dynamics and Transferability" explores the use of foundation models (FMs) trained on electronic health records (EHRs) for prognostic tasks. This paper delves deeply into the adaptability of these models across various health systems, focusing on the transition of models trained with MIMIC-IV data to the data of the University of Chicago Medical Center (UCMC).

Key Objectives and Methods

The primary aim of the paper is to evaluate the transferability of FMs trained on MIMIC-IV to other institutional EHR datasets, specifically those at UCMC, recognizing the challenges posed by distribution shifts. The paper assesses the FMs' ability to pinpoint outlier patients and scrutinizes patient trajectories in the latent representation space, correlating them with future clinical outcomes. The paper encompasses the use of LLM architectures to handle tokenized EHR sequences and involves extracting latent representations to facilitate various clinical predictive tasks.

The researchers employ logistic regression for representation-based classifiers and implement Isolation Forest for outlier detection in the data sourced from the MIMIC set. Several predictive outcomes, such as inpatient mortality, long length of stay, ICU admission, and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) events, are central to this evaluation.

Results and Analysis

The paper finds that the performance of representation-based classifiers is adequate within the MIMIC environment but degrades significantly when transferred to UCMC, particularly for predicting ICU admissions and IMV events. There is, however, a more robust cross-site generalization for inpatient mortality prediction. Fine-tuning shows substantial benefits, enhancing model performance especially when transferring to the UCMC dataset. Models benefit further from local fine-tuning using a small percentage of UCMC-specific data.

An analysis of the representation dynamics reveals consistent patterns that can predict adverse outcomes. The trajectory length, maximum jump in representation space, and anomaly scores are reliable predictors of patient deterioration, highlighting the potential of these metrics in early risk stratification.

Implications and Future Directions

The paper's findings underscore the challenges and necessities of deploying foundation models in healthcare environments where EHRs vary significantly between institutions. While FMs trained on one dataset may not directly apply to another, fine-tuning on local data—even in limited quantities—can mitigate performance declines. This adaptability of FMs suggests that with strategic local fine-tuning, these models can serve across various institutional settings, enhancing clinical applications like patient risk assessment and resource allocation.

For future work, there is potential in exploring more sophisticated methods for unsupervised anomaly detection and extending the temporal horizon of the data inputs. Additionally, a more expansive application of these models across diverse health systems could provide further insights into the scalability and robustness of FMs in the highly heterogeneous domain of healthcare data. This paper not only informs the practical deployment of AI in clinical settings but also invites further exploration into the nuances of FM adaptation in varying healthcare environments.

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