Precise Large Deviations For The Total Population Of Heavy-Tailed Subcritical Branching Process With Immigration (2405.04073v1)

Abstract: In this article we focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the subcritical branching process with immigration ${X_{n}}{n\in\mathbb{N{+}}}$, under the condition that one of the offspring $\xi$ or immigration $\eta$ is regularly varying. The tail distribution of $S_n$ is heavily dependent on that of $\xi$ and $\eta$, and a precise large deviation probability for $S_{n}$ is specified. (i)When the tail of offspring $\xi$ is lighter than immigration $\eta$, uniformly for $x\geq x_{n}$, $P(S_{n}-ES_{n}>x)\sim c_{1}nP(\eta>x)$ with some constant $c_{1}$ and sequence ${x_{n}}$, where $c_{1}$ is only related to the mean of offspring; (ii) When the tail of immigration $\eta$ is not heavier than offspring $\xi$, uniformly for $x\geq x_{n}$,$P(S_{n} ES_{n}>x)\sim c_{2}nP(\xi>x)$ with some constant $c_{2}$ and sequence ${x_{n}}$, where $c_{2}$ is related to both the mean of offspring and the mean of immigration.