Filtered data based estimators for stochastic processes driven by colored noise
Abstract: We consider the problem of estimating unknown parameters in stochastic differential equations driven by colored noise, which we model as a sequence of Gaussian stationary processes with decreasing correlation time. We aim to infer parameters in the limit equation, driven by white noise, given observations of the colored noise dynamics. We consider both the maximum likelihood and the stochastic gradient descent in continuous time estimators, and we propose to modify them by including filtered data. We provide a convergence analysis for our estimators showing their asymptotic unbiasedness in a general setting and asymptotic normality under a simplified scenario.
- Translated from the French by Stephen S. Wilson.
- Second edition [of 3930582].
- With an introduction to regularity structures, Second edition of [ 3289027].
- Theory and applications in physics, chemistry, and biology.
- Time symmetry and martingale approximation.
- Stochastic Modelling and Applied Probability.
- Diffusion processes, the Fokker-Planck and Langevin equations.
- Averaging and homogenization.
- Preprint arXiv:2212.00403.
- S. Reich, Robust parameter estimation using the ensemble Kalman filter. Preprint arXiv:2201.00611, 2023.
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