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Tabular Transformers for Modeling Multivariate Time Series

Published 3 Nov 2020 in cs.LG and cs.AI | (2011.01843v2)

Abstract: Tabular datasets are ubiquitous in data science applications. Given their importance, it seems natural to apply state-of-the-art deep learning algorithms in order to fully unlock their potential. Here we propose neural network models that represent tabular time series that can optionally leverage their hierarchical structure. This results in two architectures for tabular time series: one for learning representations that is analogous to BERT and can be pre-trained end-to-end and used in downstream tasks, and one that is akin to GPT and can be used for generation of realistic synthetic tabular sequences. We demonstrate our models on two datasets: a synthetic credit card transaction dataset, where the learned representations are used for fraud detection and synthetic data generation, and on a real pollution dataset, where the learned encodings are used to predict atmospheric pollutant concentrations. Code and data are available at https://github.com/IBM/TabFormer.

Citations (76)

Summary

  • The paper introduces TabBERT, which adapts BERT to capture intra- and inter-transaction dependencies, significantly improving fraud detection and regression performance.
  • It presents TabGPT, a model that synthesizes realistic tabular data while preserving statistical and temporal patterns for privacy-preserving applications.
  • Empirical evaluations show impressive gains, with F1 scores rising from 0.74 to 0.86 and RMSE reducing from 38.5 to 32.8, demonstrating effective handling of temporal complexities.

Overview of "Tabular Transformers for Modeling Multivariate Time Series"

The paper "Tabular Transformers for Modeling Multivariate Time Series" presents innovative architectures for leveraging transformer models, traditionally used in NLP, in the context of tabular time series data. The paper introduces two primary models: Hierarchical Tabular BERT (TabBERT) for unsupervised representation learning and Tabular GPT (TabGPT) for generating synthetic tabular data. These models are designed to address the inherent challenges in handling temporal dependencies and privacy concerns associated with tabular datasets.

Hierarchical Tabular BERT for Representation Learning

The first significant contribution of the paper is the TabBERT model, which adapts the BERT architecture to encode tabular time series data. By treating rows as embedded tokens, TabBERT captures both intra-transaction and inter-transaction dependencies. This hierarchical approach allows TabBERT to derive meaningful representations that outperform traditional methods on downstream tasks. Rigorous evaluations on a synthetic credit card transaction dataset demonstrated the model’s efficacy in fraud detection. The use of TabBERT features increased the F1 score from 0.74 to 0.86 when used with an LSTM, showcasing its capability to handle temporal complexities better than classical approaches. In a regression context using a pollution dataset, TabBERT's representations improved predictive accuracy, reducing RMSE from 38.5 to 32.8.

Tabular GPT for Data Synthesis

TabGPT extends the generative capabilities of transformer models to synthesize realistic tabular data. By training on user-specific transaction histories, TabGPT generates synthetic data that preserves the statistical properties of the original data. The generated data's fidelity was validated using aggregate distribution measures and temporal behavior assessments. Notably, the FID scores for TabGPT-generated data highlight its capability to produce data distributions closely aligned with real user behaviors, supporting its use for privacy-preserving tasks. These synthetic data can be instrumental for tasks where maintaining data confidentiality is crucial, such as cloud-based training solutions.

Implications and Future Directions

The introduction of TabBERT and TabGPT to model multivariate time series opens doors to more sophisticated analysis and synthesis of tabular data. By quantizing continuous features and leveraging transformers, these models can strike a balance between performance and privacy. The ability to learn rich representations without explicit labeling and generate synthetic data that replicates real-world patterns marks a significant step forward in AI's applicability to tabular data tasks. Future research can expand this work by exploring multi-modal applications, integrating textual and tabular data, and further refining model architectures to reduce computational overhead.

The potential for these models to benefit various industries such as finance, healthcare, and environmental monitoring is substantial. As data privacy becomes more critical, the synthesis of high-fidelity synthetic data ensures that AI systems can evolve while respecting user privacy.

In conclusion, the work on Tabular Transformers provides a vital contribution to the AI community, pushing the envelope in utilizing transformers for non-textual data and opening up avenues for practical applications where data privacy cannot be compromised.

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