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Improved Estimator of the Conditional Tail Expectation in the case of heavy-tailed losses

Published 9 Feb 2020 in math.ST and stat.TH | (2002.03414v1)

Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the extreme-value methodology, to propose an improved estimator of the conditional tail expectation ($CTE$) for a loss distribution with a finite mean but infinite variance. The present work introduces a new estimator of the $CTE$ based on the bias-reduced estimators of high quantile for heavy-tailed distributions. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked, in a simulation study. Moreover, we compare, in terms of bias and mean squared error, our estimator with the known old estimator.

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