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Latent Representations of Dynamical Systems: When Two is Better Than One (1902.03364v2)

Published 9 Feb 2019 in physics.data-an and stat.ML

Abstract: A popular approach for predicting the future of dynamical systems involves mapping them into a lower-dimensional "latent space" where prediction is easier. We show that the information-theoretically optimal approach uses different mappings for present and future, in contrast to state-of-the-art machine-learning approaches where both mappings are the same. We illustrate this dichotomy by predicting the time-evolution of coupled harmonic oscillators with dissipation and thermal noise, showing how the optimal 2-mapping method significantly outperforms principal component analysis and all other approaches that use a single latent representation, and discuss the intuitive reason why two representations are better than one. We conjecture that a single latent representation is optimal only for time-reversible processes, not for e.g. text, speech, music or out-of-equilibrium physical systems.

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