Multistage stochastic programs with a random number of stages: dynamic programming equations, solution methods, and application to portfolio selection (1803.06034v5)

Abstract: We introduce the class of multistage stochastic optimization problems with a random number of stages. For such problems, we show how to write dynamic programming equations and detail the Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming algorithm to solve these equations. Finally, we consider a portfolio selection problem over an optimization period of random duration. For several instances of this problem, we show the gain obtained using a policy that takes the random duration of the number of stages into account over a policy built taking a fixed number of stages (namely the maximal possible number of stages).