Characterization of the Endemic Equilibrium and Response to Mutant Injection in a Multi-strain Disease Model

Abstract: Starting from common assumptions, we build a rate equation model for multi-strain disease dynamics in terms of immune repertoire classes. We then move to a strain-level description where a low-order closure reminiscent of a pair approximation can be applied. We characterize the endemic equilibrium of the ensuing model in the absence of mutation and discuss the presence of degeneracy regarding the prevalence of the different strains. Finally we study the behavior of the system under the injection of mutant strains.