Strict separation of survival and percolation thresholds on lattices

Determine whether the contact process on the integer lattice \(\mathbb Z^d\), for every \(d\ge 2\), satisfies the strict inequality \(\lambda_1(\mathbb Z^d)<\lambda_p(\mathbb Z^d)\), where \(\lambda_1\) is the survival threshold and \(\lambda_p\) is the percolation threshold of the upper invariant infection.

Background

The paper studies the percolation threshold of the upper invariant measure of the contact process and proves the strict inequality λ1<λp\lambda_1<\lambda_p on regular trees. The authors contrast this result with the situation on Zd\mathbb Z^d, where finiteness of λp\lambda_p is known for d2d\ge2, but strict separation from the survival threshold remains unresolved.

The problem asks whether the upper invariant infected set can fail to percolate throughout a nontrivial interval of infection rates above the survival threshold on the integer lattice. Such a result would establish a distinct percolation transition analogous to the one proved in the paper for regular trees.

References

The same paper also raises the natural question whether we have $\lambda_1<\lambda_p$ on $\mathbb Zd$ when $d\ge 2$, which remains a difficult open problem.

Percolation of the contact process on the regular tree  (2609.09972 - Fernley et al., 9 Sep 2026) in Section 1, Introduction