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Relative impact of stochastic volatility versus stochastic correlation on pricing accuracy

Establish whether, for Monte Carlo pricing of multi-asset basket quanto call options on foreign equity indices with stochastic exchange rates, modeling asset-return volatility as stochastic rather than constant produces a larger improvement in pricing accuracy than modeling inter-asset correlation as stochastic rather than constant. Conduct the analysis within the paper’s framework that considers families of stochastic volatility models (e.g., Heston, 3/2, GARCH-inspired, Bates, GARCH-Jump), stochastic correlation models (e.g., Wright–Fisher, Jacobi, mean-reverting Wright–Fisher, Weibull), stochastic exchange-rate models (e.g., GBM, mean-reverting OU-inspired, exponential Lévy), and common discretization schemes (Euler–Maruyama, Milstein, Runge–Kutta).

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Background

The paper compares 60 combinations of stochastic volatility, stochastic correlation, and stochastic exchange-rate models for pricing two- and three-asset basket quanto call options via Monte Carlo simulation. Across tests, configurations with GARCH-Jump stochastic volatility, Weibull stochastic correlation, and OU-style mean-reverting stochastic exchange rates performed best by their accuracy metric.

Based on these empirical findings, the authors hypothesize that making volatility stochastic confers a greater accuracy benefit than making correlation stochastic. They explicitly state this as a conjecture and call for confirmation or refutation within the modeling and simulation framework they paper.

References

Finally, based on our findings, we conjecture that the choice to model volatility as stochastic (vs. constant) is relatively more significant for pricing accuracy than modeling correlations as stochastic.

Pricing Multi-strike Quanto Call Options on Multiple Assets with Stochastic Volatility, Correlation, and Exchange Rates (2411.16617 - Ter-Avanesov et al., 25 Nov 2024) in Section 7 (Conclusion)