Parity-query realization of the logarithmic lower bound for superlinear query budgets

Construct a single initial encoding on \(O(n)\) fixed bits together with causal single-parity queries that preserve the information-hiding and population-mean properties of the Lyu–Talwar adaptive attack, and establish failure probability strictly greater than \(1/3\), thereby proving an \(\Omega_\alpha(\sqrt{n}\log n)\) fixed-accuracy lower bound for adaptive Pauli parity prediction with \(M=\lceil n^\alpha\rceil\) queries for every fixed \(\alpha>1\).

Background

For general bounded queries, the cited Lyu–Talwar construction yields an Ωα(nlog⁡n)\Omega_\alpha(\sqrt n\log n) lower bound for M=⌈nα⌉M=\lceil n^\alpha\rceil, but its failure probability is only an unspecified positive constant and therefore does not directly contradict the paper’s required $2/3$ success guarantee.

The paper explains that transferring this result to Pauli prediction would require one fixed O(n)O(n)-bit encoding, single-parity queries at every stage, a causal query rule, and preservation of the attack’s information restriction and population means. Achieving failure probability greater than $1/3$ would close the logarithmic interval between the known Ω(n)\Omega(\sqrt n) lower bound and the O(nlog⁡n)O(\sqrt n\log n) upper bound for superlinear query budgets.

References

A transfer would require a single initial encoding on $O(n)$ bits, single-parity queries at every stage, a causal query rule, and preservation of the mechanism's information and population means. If it also established failure probability strictly greater than $1/3$, it would transfer the $\Omega_\alpha(\sqrt n\log n)$ fixed-accuracy rate for every fixed $\alpha>1$ and close the logarithmic interval in Sec.~\ref{sm:sec:regimes}. This is a conditional open problem, not a parity lower bound established here.

— Finite-Size Limits of Adaptive Pauli Prediction  (2610.13652 - Wang et al., 9 Oct 2026) in Supplemental Material, Section S10.5, “What a transfer to parity queries would require”