Sharpness for orientations with orientation-invariant decomposition family

Prove that, for every directed graph H whose underlying graph satisfies M(H)=\overrightarrow{M(H)}, the equality D(n,H)=2^{ex(n,H)} holds for sufficiently large n.

Background

The paper introduces directed and undirected decomposition families to control the structure of H-free orientations. The condition M(H)=\overrightarrow{M(H)} means, in the paper’s notation, that every orientation of every graph in the relevant undirected decomposition family is represented in the directed decomposition family. Motivated by the exact results for the 2-fans and the anti-directed 3-fan, the authors propose this condition as a general sufficient criterion for equality.

References

As a start to Problem \ref{classification_prob}, and in light of the results of Theorems \ref{k-fans_thm_1} and \ref{k-fans_thm_2}, it seems reasonable to conjecture the following:

Orientations of graphs omitting non-edge-critical directed graphs  (2502.21287 - Sheats, 28 Feb 2025) in Section 5, subsection “Questions and open problems,” final Conjecture environment