Lifting the computed loop-space equivalence to the metastable category

Establish or refute the equivalence \(\Omega S^1 \simeq \mathbb{Z} \times \Omega^{\infty+2}\mathbb{Sp}^2\) in the metastable category \(P_2\mathcal{S}_*\).

Background

A companion result identifies the corresponding loop space after applying the 2-excisive approximation to spaces: ΩP2I(S1)≃Z×Ω∞+2Sp2\Omega P_2I(S^1)\simeq \mathbb{Z}\times\Omega^{\infty+2}\mathbb{Sp}^2. The paper also proves a 2-local equivalence for Ω2S1\Omega^2S^1 in the metastable setting.

What remains unresolved is whether the one-fold loop-space equivalence itself can be realized inside the metastable category. The obstruction is the absence of an evident map from Ω∞ΣZ\Omega^\infty\Sigma\mathbb{Z} to S1S^1 in P2S∗P_2\mathcal{S}_*.

References

At present we do not know how to lift this equivalence to the metastable category, that is, we do not know whether $$\Omega S1 \simeq \mathbb{Z} \times \Omega{\infty+2}\mathbb{Sp}2$$

— Metastable homotopy theory via Tate coalgebras  (2609.31274 - Nervo, 25 Sep 2026) in Section 3, subsection “The 1-sphere,” Remark following the 2-local equivalence for \(\Omega^2S^1\)