Expected flips for arbitrary ending strings
Determine whether, for every binary ending string S other than a constant string consisting solely of heads or solely of tails, with total length s, the expected number E(S) of coin flips until the first occurrence of S equals 2^s possibly plus some lower positive powers of 2, and consequently is asymptotic to 2^s.
References
We also have the following conjecture for an arbitrary ending string based on our result. Conjecture 4.1. Suppose S ยข {Hk, Tk} is a string consisting of a total of s heads and tails. Then E(S) equals 28 possibly plus some lower positive powers of 2, so asymptotically, E(S) is about 25.
— A coin flip game and generalizations of Fibonacci numbers
(2501.07463 - Huang, 13 Jan 2025) in Conjecture 4.1, Section 4