Determine the appropriate resolution of the wicket-hazard compensator

Determine the appropriate state resolution for the dismissal-hazard baseline used to calculate the centered Wicket Effect, specifically whether the league hazard should be conditioned only on phase and innings or on richer state variables such as wickets remaining and batter quality, while preserving the intended separation between the baseline and player-specific survival skill.

Background

The centered Wicket Effect compares a player's realized wicket costs with an expected wicket effect computed using a league dismissal hazard conditioned on phase and innings. This deliberately coarse baseline is intended to measure departures from average dismissal behavior without absorbing player skill into a player-specific expectation.

The paper notes that the value function already tracks richer state variables, including wickets remaining and batter quality. Conditioning the hazard baseline on these variables could sharpen the compensator, but could also make the baseline closer to the evaluated player's own circumstances and thereby dilute the survival signal. The authors explicitly leave unresolved where to set this conditioning resolution.