Determine the computational complexity of exact graph likelihood evaluation

Determine the computational complexity of exactly evaluating the graph likelihood quantity A(G), in particular whether exact evaluation of A(G) is #P-hard and whether the subset dynamic program yields polynomial-time evaluation for graphs of bounded pathwidth.

Background

The paper derives a vertex-subset dynamic program that computes the likelihood exactly in O(n2ⁿ) arithmetic operations and O(2ⁿ) space. This establishes an exponential-time algorithm but does not settle the complexity of exact evaluation as a computational problem.

The authors explicitly ask whether evaluating A(G) is #P-hard and point out that the dynamic program suggests polynomial-time computation on graphs of bounded pathwidth. Neither the hardness question nor the bounded-pathwidth algorithmic consequence is established in the paper.

References

The complexity of $L$ remains open; see Problem~\ref{prob:complexity}.

The minimum of the graph likelihood  (2608.19467 - Severini et al., 19 Aug 2026) in Problem labeled \ref{prob:complexity}, Section 6; related remark in Section 2