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Calibrating evaluation rigor for high-stakes AI applications

Determine principled criteria and methods for the required level of rigor and confidence in AI model evaluations for decision-making systems in high‑stakes settings, aligning evaluation strength with use-case risk.

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Background

AI evaluations in high-stakes contexts (e.g., healthcare, finance, safety-critical operations) demand confidence beyond typical applications, but current practice lacks clear guidance for how rigorous evaluations should be.

Establishing risk-aligned evaluation rigor would improve the reliability of deployed systems and help regulators and practitioners select appropriate testing protocols.

References

In addition, evaluations for decision-making systems in high-stakes settings will likely demand a higher level of confidence than other applications, but it is unclear how to determine the required level of rigor based on use case.

Open Problems in Technical AI Governance (2407.14981 - Reuel et al., 20 Jul 2024) in Section 3.3.1 “Reliable Evaluations”