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Asymptotic properties of the second estimator for directional tail dependence

Derive the asymptotic properties of the estimator lambda_hat_n^2 for the directional tail dependence measure lambda(X,Y) for bivariate balanced regularly varying random vectors, including establishing formal large-sample behavior under the modeling framework introduced in the paper.

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Background

The paper introduces the directional tail dependence (DTD) measure lambda(X,Y) for bivariate balanced regularly varying vectors and proposes two estimators: lambda_hat_n1 and lambda_hat_n2. The first estimator’s asymptotic normality is established via a central limit theorem, enabling a t-test under suitable thresholding. However, the asymptotic properties of the second estimator are not provided; instead, the authors rely on a permutation test for inference.

This leaves unresolved the formal large-sample theory for lambda_hat_n2, such as its consistency, limiting distribution, and conditions under which these properties hold—key ingredients for theoretically grounded inference without resampling.

References

We proved asymptotic normality for the first estimator; deriving the asymptotic properties for the second estimator remains future work.

The Efficient Tail Hypothesis: An Extreme Value Perspective on Market Efficiency (2408.06661 - Jiang et al., 13 Aug 2024) in Section 6, Conclusion