Prove the asymmetric recovery criterion under dynamic execution priorities

Prove or refute the Asymmetric Recovery Criterion for a cooperator interacting with a defector when execution probabilities are updated after every operation rather than fixed at their initial values; specifically, determine whether the condition E_max > \tilde{E}^* guarantees the stated positive expected energy differential at replication completion.

Background

The Asymmetric Recovery Criterion addresses a cooperator entering an encounter at maximum energy and a low-energy defector whose stealing can generate net energy for itself. The conjecture derives a threshold \tilde{E}* under a frozen-priority approximation, in which each program’s execution probability remains equal to its initial energy share.

The paper acknowledges that actual execution probabilities change after every operation. Repeated stealing can increase a defector’s execution priority, while costly computation can reduce a cooperator’s priority, so the conjectured threshold is not established for the full dynamic process.

References

If E_{max} > \tilde{E}*, then the first-order frozen-priority approximation yields

\mathbb{E}!\left[\mathcal{D}!\left(L,\,L\frac{\epsilon}{E_{max}}\right)\right] > 0.

\end{conjecture}

Tapes Together Strong: The Co-evolution of Computation and Cooperation  (2609.10817 - Jha et al., 9 Sep 2026) in Appendix Section “Sufficient Conditions for Autopoietic Cooperation under Endogenous Time and Uniform, Exogenous Energy,” subsection “Macro-Scale Survival and Population Dynamics,” Conjecture 1 (Asymmetric Recovery Criterion)