Alternating increasing permutations as minimizers

Prove that the limit \(c_{\mathrm{alt}}=\lim_{n\to\infty}\beta(\mathrm{Alt}_n)/n^2\) exists and equals the stated variational expression, establish \(c_-=c_{\mathrm{alt}}\), and show that \(\mathrm{Alt}_k\) minimizes \(\beta\) over all permutations in \(\Pi_k\) for every \(k\).

Background

The quantity βk\beta_k^- is the minimum expected online embedding time over all permutations of size kk. Numerical evidence suggests that it is attained by the alternating increasing permutation Altk=(2,1,4,3,)\mathrm{Alt}_k=(2,1,4,3,\ldots). The conjecture has three progressively stronger parts: existence and an explicit formula for the asymptotic constant, asymptotic optimality, and exact optimality for every finite size.

References

We believe the following (stated in increasing order of difficulty).

Online Permutation Embedding: Optimal Stopping and Scaling Laws  (2608.19050 - Altschuler et al., 19 Aug 2026) in Section 1, subsection "Open problems", Conjecture [Minimizer of \(\beta\)]

The next open question is related to universality in the online setting, i.e., the task of embedding all permutations simultaneously.

Online Permutation Embedding: Optimal Stopping and Scaling Laws  (2608.19050 - Altschuler et al., 19 Aug 2026) in Section 1, subsection "Open problems", Question [Online universality]

What remains of the theory when the iid stream is replaced by a stream with strong dependencies?

Online Permutation Embedding: Optimal Stopping and Scaling Laws  (2608.19050 - Altschuler et al., 19 Aug 2026) in Section 1, subsection "Open problems", Question [Structured host]