Addressing Positivity Violations in Continuous Interventions through Data-Adaptive Strategies (2502.14566v1)

Abstract: Positivity violations pose a key challenge in the estimation of causal effects, particularly for continuous interventions. Current approaches for addressing this issue include the use of projection functions or modified treatment policies. While effective in many contexts, these methods can result in estimands that potentially do not align well with the original research question, thereby leading to compromises in interpretability. In this paper, we introduce a novel diagnostic tool, the non-overlap ratio, to detect positivity violations. To address these violations while maintaining interpretability, we propose a data-adaptive solution, specially a "most feasible" intervention strategy. Our strategy operates on a unit-specific basis. For a given intervention of interest, we first assess whether the intervention value is feasible for each unit. For units with sufficient support, conditional on confounders, we adhere to the intervention of interest. However, for units lacking sufficient support, as identified through the assessment of the non-overlap ratio, we do not assign the actual intervention value of interest. Instead, we assign the closest feasible value within the support region. We propose an estimator using g-computation coupled with flexible conditional density estimation to estimate high- and low support regions to estimate this new estimand. Through simulations, we demonstrate that our method effectively reduces bias across various scenarios by addressing positivity violations. Moreover, when positivity violations are absent, the method successfully recovers the standard estimand. We further validate its practical utility using real-world data from the CHAPAS-3 trial, which enrolled HIV-positive children in Zambia and Uganda.