Forecasting constraints on the high-z IGM thermal state from the Lyman-$α$ forest flux auto-correlation function (2309.05647v1)

Abstract: The auto-correlation function of the Lyman-$\alpha$ (Ly$\alpha$) forest flux from high-z quasars can statistically probe all scales of the intergalactic medium (IGM) just after the epoch of reionization. The thermal state of the IGM, which is determined by the physics of reionization, sets the amount of small-scale power seen in the \lya forest. To study the sensitivity of the auto-correlation function to the thermal state of the IGM, we compute the auto-correlation function from cosmological hydrodynamical simulations with semi-numerical models of the thermal state of the IGM. We create mock data sets of 20 quasars to forecast constraints on $T_0$ and $\gamma$, which characterize a tight temperature-density relation in the IGM, at $5.4 \leq z \leq 6$. At $z = 5.4$ we find that an ideal data set constrains $T_0$ to 29\% and $\gamma$ to 9\%. In addition, we investigate four realistic reionization scenarios that combine temperature and ultra-violet background (UVB) fluctuations at $z = 5.8$. We find that, when using mock data generated from a model that includes temperature and UVB fluctuations, we can rule out a model with no temperature or UVB fluctuations at $>1\sigma$ level 50.5\% of the time.