Ruin probabilities as recurrence sequences in a discrete-time risk process (2302.05568v1)

Abstract: We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support ${0,1,\ldots,m}$, for some integer $m\ge2$. The method requires to find the zeroes of an $m$ degree polynomial and to solve a system of $m$ linear equations. An approximation is derived from the exact ruin formula and several numerical results and plots are provided as examples.