Automated clustering of COVID-19 anti-vaccine discourse on Twitter

Abstract: Attitudes about vaccination have become more polarized; it is common to see vaccine disinformation and fringe conspiracy theories online. An observational study of Twitter vaccine discourse is found in Ojea Quintana et al. (2021): the authors analyzed approximately six months' of Twitter discourse -- 1.3 million original tweets and 18 million retweets between December 2019 and June 2020, ranging from before to after the establishment of Covid-19 as a pandemic. This work expands upon Ojea Quintana et al. (2021) with two main contributions from data science. First, based on the authors' initial network clustering and qualitative analysis techniques, we are able to clearly demarcate and visualize the language patterns used in discourse by Antivaxxers (anti-vaccination campaigners and vaccine deniers) versus other clusters (collectively, Others). Second, using the characteristics of Antivaxxers' tweets, we develop text classifiers to determine the likelihood a given user is employing anti-vaccination language, ultimately contributing to an early-warning mechanism to improve the health of our epistemic environment and bolster (and not hinder) public health initiatives.