Identification of Dynamical Systems using Symbolic Regression

Abstract: We describe a method for the identification of models for dynamical systems from observational data. The method is based on the concept of symbolic regression and uses genetic programming to evolve a system of ordinary differential equations (ODE). The novelty is that we add a step of gradient-based optimization of the ODE parameters. For this we calculate the sensitivities of the solution to the initial value problem (IVP) using automatic differentiation. The proposed approach is tested on a set of 19 problem instances taken from the literature which includes datasets from simulated systems as well as datasets captured from mechanical systems. We find that gradient-based optimization of parameters improves predictive accuracy of the models. The best results are obtained when we first fit the individual equations to the numeric differences and then subsequently fine-tune the identified parameter values by fitting the IVP solution to the observed variable values.