Economic Dispatch Considering Spatial and Temporal Correlations of Multiple Renewable Power Plants (1707.00237v1)

Abstract: The correlations of multiple renewable power plants (RPPs) should be fully considered in the power system with very high penetration renewable power integration. This paper models the uncertainties, spatial correlation of multiple RPPs based on Copula theory and actual probability historical histograms by one-dimension distributions for economic dispatch (ED) problem. An efficient dynamic renewable power scenario generation method based on Gibbs sampling is proposed to generate renewable power scenarios considering the uncertainties, spatial correlation and variability (temporal correlation) of multiple RPPs, in which the sampling space complexity do not increase with the number of RPPs. Distribution-based and scenario-based methods are proposed and compared to solve the real-time ED problem with multiple RPPs. Results show that the proposed dynamic scenario generation method is much more consist with the actual renewable power. The proposed ED methods show better understanding for the uncertainties, spatial and temporal correlations of renewable power and more economical compared with the traditional ones.