Dark Energy Survey: implications for cosmological expansion models from the final DES Baryon Acoustic Oscillation and Supernova data (2503.06712v1)

Abstract: The Dark Energy Survey (DES) recently released the final results of its two principal probes of the expansion history: Type Ia Supernovae (SNe) and Baryonic Acoustic Oscillations (BAO). In this paper, we explore the cosmological implications of these data in combination with external Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB), Big Bang Nucleosynthesis (BBN), and age-of-the-Universe information. The BAO measurement, which is $\sim2\sigma$ away from Planck's $\Lambda$CDM predictions, pushes for low values of $\Omega_{\rm m}$ compared to Planck, in contrast to SN which prefers a higher value than Planck. We identify several tensions among datasets in the $\Lambda$CDM model that cannot be resolved by including either curvature ($k\Lambda$CDM) or a constant dark energy equation of state ($w$CDM). By combining BAO+SN+CMB despite these mild tensions, we obtain $\Omega_k=-5.5^{+4.6}_{-4.2}\times10^{-3}$ in $k\Lambda$CDM, and $w=-0.948^{+0.028}_{-0.027}$ in $w$CDM. If we open the parameter space to $w_0$$w_a$CDM\$ (where the equation of state of dark energy varies as $w(a)=w_0+(1-a)w_a$), all the datasets are mutually more compatible, and we find concordance in the $[w_0>-1,w_a<0]$ quadrant. For DES BAO and SN in combination with Planck-CMB, we find a $3.2\sigma$ deviation from $\Lambda$CDM, with $w_0=-0.673^{+0.098}_{-0.097}$, $w_a = -1.37^{+0.51}_{-0.50}$, a Hubble constant of $H_0=67.81^{+0.96}_{-0.86}$km s$^{-1}$Mpc$^{-1}$, and an abundance of matter of $\Omega_{\rm m}=0.3109^{+0.0086}_{-0.0099}$. For the combination of all the background cosmological probes considered (including CMB $\theta_\star$), we still find a deviation of $2.8\sigma$ from $\Lambda$CDMin the $w_0-w_a$ plane. Assuming a minimal neutrino mass, this work provides further evidence for non-$\Lambda$CDM physics or systematics, which is consistent with recent claims in support of evolving dark energy.