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Can You Trust LLM Judgments? Reliability of LLM-as-a-Judge (2412.12509v2)

Published 17 Dec 2024 in cs.CL

Abstract: LLMs have become increasingly powerful and ubiquitous, but their stochastic nature poses challenges to the reliability of their outputs. While deterministic settings can improve consistency, they do not guarantee reliability, as a single sample from the model's probability distribution can still be misleading. Building upon the concept of LLM-as-a-judge, we introduce a novel framework for rigorously evaluating the reliability of LLM judgments, leveraging McDonald's omega. We evaluate the reliability of LLMs when judging the outputs of other LLMs on standard single-turn and multi-turn benchmarks, simultaneously investigating the impact of temperature on reliability. By analyzing these results, we demonstrate the limitations of fixed randomness and the importance of considering multiple samples, which we show has significant implications for downstream applications. Our findings highlight the need for a nuanced understanding of LLM reliability and the potential risks associated with over-reliance on single-shot evaluations. This work provides a crucial step towards building more trustworthy and reliable LLM-based systems and applications.

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Summary

  • The paper introduces a framework using McDonald’s omega to measure the internal consistency of LLM-as-a-judge evaluations.
  • Experimental results show that reliability varies significantly across benchmarks and temperature settings, notably in multi-turn tasks.
  • The study highlights the implications of stochastic judgment variability for downstream applications and the need for domain-specific reliability guidelines.

An Examination of the Reliability of LLM-as-a-Judge Using McDonald's Omega

The paper "Can You Trust LLM Judgments? Reliability of LLM-as-a-Judge" scrutinizes the reliability of LLMs when employed as judges to evaluate outputs from other LLMs. This is executed within a framework that leverages the metric McDonald's omega to quantify internal consistency reliability across different instantiations of LLM judgments. This work fills a critical gap in the literature by providing a systematic approach to assess the reliability of LLM-based evaluations, an aspect often overlooked in traditional accuracy-focused metrics.

The paper begins by contextualizing the stochastic nature inherent in LLMs, which results in output variability even under deterministic settings. Deterministic approaches, which fix parameters like temperature and top-k sampling, aim to enhance replicability but inadequate internal consistency can still affect the reliability of the resulting judgments. This limitation is demonstrated through various experimental setups where LLMs, acting as judges, provide different evaluations for similar tasks when prompted multiple times under varying conditions.

The novel framework introduced in the paper hinges on employing McDonald's omega, a well-regarded statistical measure of internal consistency, which provides a more nuanced quantification of reliability than commonly used metrics such as Cronbach’s alpha. This is particularly relevant as the research demonstrates that consistency in LLM outputs is not solely contingent on fixed settings, but also on adequately capturing the underlying factors influencing LLM judgments across different instantiations.

Experimental evaluation highlights the variability in judgments made by several LLMs across diverse benchmark datasets such as BIG-Bench Hard (BBH), SQuAD, and MT-Bench. The results illustrate that reliability, as quantified by omega, varies substantially depending on both the benchmark and the temperature settings of the LLMs. For instance, judgments of multi-turn tasks exhibit more pronounced reliability issues compared to single-turn tasks, attributed to the increased complexity and subjectivity inherent in multi-turn interactions.

Furthermore, the paper explores the practical implications of these reliability concerns, especially in downstream applications where LLM evaluation acts as a benchmark, such as the Head-to-Tail benchmark described in Sun et al. The analysis underscores the potential for significant variability in the derived metrics resulting from LLM judgments, which can lead to erroneous conclusions if the stochastic variability is not accounted for.

The authors also provide a comprehensive discussion on the need for domain-specific guidelines for interpreting these reliability metrics, highlighting the necessity of understanding the tolerance levels for uncertainty across different fields. Additionally, the impact of prompt engineering and adversarial prompting on LLM reliability are identified as pertinent areas for future exploration.

The paper concludes by acknowledging certain limitations, primarily the focus on specific benchmarks and a call for developing more generalized guidelines that would be applicable across varying domains. This work paves the way for future research to explore understanding the intersection of LLM reliability, robustness, and model performance, emphasizing the importance of systematically incorporating reliability measures in LLM-based judgment tasks to enhance trust and accountability in AI systems.

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