Advancing Explainable AI with Causal Analysis in Large-Scale Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (2405.09190v1)
Abstract: In the quest for accurate and interpretable AI models, eXplainable AI (XAI) has become crucial. Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) stand out as an advanced XAI method because of their ability to synergistically combine and exploit both expert knowledge and data-driven insights, providing transparency and intrinsic interpretability. This letter introduces and investigates the "Total Causal Effect Calculation for FCMs" (TCEC-FCM) algorithm, an innovative approach that, for the first time, enables the efficient calculation of total causal effects among concepts in large-scale FCMs by leveraging binary search and graph traversal techniques, thereby overcoming the challenge of exhaustive causal path exploration that hinder existing methods. We evaluate the proposed method across various synthetic FCMs that demonstrate TCEC-FCM's superior performance over exhaustive methods, marking a significant advancement in causal effect analysis within FCMs, thus broadening their usability for modern complex XAI applications.
- M. I. Jordan and T. M. Mitchell, “Machine learning: Trends, perspectives, and prospects,” Science, vol. 349, no. 6245, p. 255–260, Jul. 2015.
- M. Hou, Y. Wang, L. Trajkovic, K. N. Plataniotis, S. Kwong, M. Zhou, E. Tunstel, I. J. Rudas, J. Kacprzyk, and H. Leung, “Frontiers of brain-inspired autonomous systems: How does defense R&D drive the innovations?” IEEE Syst. Man Cybern. Mag., vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 8–20, Apr. 2022.
- A. Adadi and M. Berrada, “Peeking inside the black-box: A survey on explainable artificial intelligence (XAI),” IEEE Access, vol. 6, pp. 52 138–52 160, 2018.
- C. Rudin, “Stop explaining black box machine learning models for high stakes decisions and use interpretable models instead,” Nat. Mach. Intell., vol. 1, no. 5, pp. 206–215, May 2019.
- D. Slack, S. Hilgard, E. Jia, S. Singh, and H. Lakkaraju, “Fooling LIME and SHAP,” in Proceedings of the AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society. New York, NY, USA: ACM, Feb. 2020.
- K. Aas, M. Jullum, and A. Løland, “Explaining individual predictions when features are dependent: More accurate approximations to shapley values,” Artif. Intell., vol. 298, no. 103502, p. 103502, Sep. 2021.
- X. S. Liang, D. Chen, and R. Zhang, “Quantitative causality, causality-aided discovery, and causal machine learning,” Ocean-Land-Atmos Res, Oct. 2023.
- B. Kosko, “Fuzzy cognitive maps,” Int. J. Man. Mach. Stud., vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 65–75, Jan. 1986.
- C. D. Stylios and P. P. Groumpos, “Modeling complex systems using fuzzy cognitive maps,” IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. A Syst. Hum., vol. 34, no. 1, pp. 155–162, Jan. 2004.
- M. Tyrovolas, X. S. Liang, and C. Stylios, “Information flow-based fuzzy cognitive maps with enhanced interpretability,” Granul. Comput., vol. 8, no. 6, pp. 2021–2038, Nov. 2023.
- V. Kreinovich and C. D. Stylios, “Why fuzzy cognitive maps are efficient,” Int. J. Comput. Commun. Control, vol. 10, no. 6, p. 65, Oct. 2015.
- G. Napoles, Y. Salgueiro, I. Grau, and M. L. Espinosa, “Recurrence-aware long-term cognitive network for explainable pattern classification,” IEEE Trans. Cybern., vol. 53, no. 10, pp. 6083–6094, Oct. 2023.
- G. Nápoles, N. Ranković, and Y. Salgueiro, “On the interpretability of fuzzy cognitive maps,” Knowl. Based Syst., vol. 281, no. 111078, p. 111078, Dec. 2023.
- A. J. Freund, “The necessity and challenges of automatic causal map processing: A network science perspective,” Ph.D. dissertation, Miami University, 2021. [Online]. Available: http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=miami1619545359648916
- S. Sryheni, “Find all simple paths between two vertices in a graph,” Nov 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.baeldung.com/cs/simple-paths-between-two-vertices
- M. F. Dodurka, E. Yesil, and L. Urbas, “Causal effect analysis for fuzzy cognitive maps designed with non-singleton fuzzy numbers,” Neurocomputing, vol. 232, pp. 122–132, Apr. 2017.
- M. Tyrovolas, N. Kallimanis, and C. Stylios, “TCEC-FCM: Efficient Algorithm for Total Causal Effect Calculation in Fuzzy Cognitive Maps,” Feb. 2024. [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10634685