Nonparametric Estimation for I.I.D. Paths of Fractional SDE (2004.03417v2)

Abstract: This paper deals with nonparametric estimators of the drift function $b$ computed from independent continuous observations, on a compact time interval, of the solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by the fractional Brownian motion (fSDE). First, a risk bound is established on a Skorokhod's integral based least squares oracle $\widehat b$ of $b$. Thanks to the relationship between the solution of the fSDE and its derivative with respect to the initial condition, a risk bound is deduced on a calculable approximation of $\widehat b$. Another bound is directly established on an estimator of $b'$ for comparison. The consistency and rates of convergence are established for these estimators in the case of the compactly supported trigonometric basis or the $\mathbb R$-supported Hermite basis.