Multilevel Path Branching for Digital Options

Abstract: We propose a new Monte Carlo-based estimator for digital options with assets modelled by a stochastic differential equation (SDE). The new estimator is based on repeated path splitting and relies on the correlation of approximate paths of the underlying SDE that share parts of a Brownian path. Combining this new estimator with Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) leads to an estimator with a computational complexity that is similar to the complexity of a MLMC estimator when applied to options with Lipschitz payoffs. This preprint includes detailed calculations and proofs (in grey colour) which are not peer-reviewed and not included in the published article.