A posteriori validation of generalized polynomial chaos expansions (2203.02404v1)

Abstract: Generalized polynomial chaos expansions are a powerful tool to study differential equations with random coefficients, allowing in particular to efficiently approximate random invariant sets associated to such equations. In this work, we use ideas from validated numerics in order to obtain rigorous a posteriori error estimates together with existence results about gPC expansions of random invariant sets. This approach also provides a new framework for conducting validated continuation, i.e. for rigorously computing isolated branches of solutions in parameter-dependent systems, which generalizes in a straightforward way to multi-parameter continuation. We illustrate the proposed methodology by rigorously computing random invariant periodic orbits in the Lorenz system, as well as branches and 2-dimensional manifolds of steady states of the Swift-Hohenberg equation.