Variable selection with false discovery rate control in deep neural networks

Abstract: Deep neural networks (DNNs) are famous for their high prediction accuracy, but they are also known for their black-box nature and poor interpretability. We consider the problem of variable selection, that is, selecting the input variables that have significant predictive power on the output, in DNNs. We propose a backward elimination procedure called SurvNet, which is based on a new measure of variable importance that applies to a wide variety of networks. More importantly, SurvNet is able to estimate and control the false discovery rate of selected variables, while no existing methods provide such a quality control. Further, SurvNet adaptively determines how many variables to eliminate at each step in order to maximize the selection efficiency. To study its validity, SurvNet is applied to image data and gene expression data, as well as various simulation datasets.