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Numerical Gaussian Processes for Time-dependent and Non-linear Partial Differential Equations (1703.10230v1)

Published 29 Mar 2017 in stat.ML, cs.NA, math.AP, math.DS, and math.NA

Abstract: We introduce the concept of numerical Gaussian processes, which we define as Gaussian processes with covariance functions resulting from temporal discretization of time-dependent partial differential equations. Numerical Gaussian processes, by construction, are designed to deal with cases where: (1) all we observe are noisy data on black-box initial conditions, and (2) we are interested in quantifying the uncertainty associated with such noisy data in our solutions to time-dependent partial differential equations. Our method circumvents the need for spatial discretization of the differential operators by proper placement of Gaussian process priors. This is an attempt to construct structured and data-efficient learning machines, which are explicitly informed by the underlying physics that possibly generated the observed data. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through several benchmark problems involving linear and nonlinear time-dependent operators. In all examples, we are able to recover accurate approximations of the latent solutions, and consistently propagate uncertainty, even in cases involving very long time integration.

Citations (257)

Summary

  • The paper presents a novel method employing numerical Gaussian processes that use temporal discretization to model time-dependent PDEs.
  • It effectively handles uncertainty propagation by integrating Gaussian process priors, thereby bypassing traditional spatial discretization.
  • The approach extends to classical time-stepping schemes like Runge-Kutta and multi-step methods, demonstrating robust performance on benchmark problems.

Numerical Gaussian Processes for Time-dependent and Non-linear Partial Differential Equations

The paper introduces a methodological advancement in the modeling and solution of time-dependent and nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) by leveraging numerical Gaussian processes (GPs). Traditional methods in numerical analysis require spatial discretization and typically disregard the inherent uncertainties present in the observed data. The authors propose numerical GPs as an alternative—these are GPs where the covariance functions are influenced by temporal discretization specifically targeting time-dependent PDEs. This approach enables the incorporation of noisy data and the quantification of uncertainty in the solutions, addressing a common limitation in classical deterministic numerical methods.

Methodology

The method strategically avoids the spatial discretization of differential operators by appropriately placing Gaussian process priors. The essence of the method lies in constructing data-efficient learning machines informed by the physics that potentially generate the observed data. The framework utilizes structured prior information embedded in the covariance functions defined through a discretization scheme of the PDEs. This statistical inference-based approach combines methodologies from classical numerical analysis with modern probabilistic machine learning frameworks, aligning with the emerging field of probabilistic numerics.

Key Features:

  • Numerical Gaussian Processes: The construction of GPs informed by the temporal discretization of time-dependent PDEs enables the encoding of intrinsic physical laws into the learning process.
  • Handling Uncertainty: The framework effectively propagates uncertainties over long time horizons, which is particularly challenging in traditional methods.
  • Avoidance of Spatial Discretization: The placement of GP priors bypasses the inversion of differential operators, a significant computational hurdle in classical methods.
  • Linear Multi-step and Runge-Kutta Methods: The paper extends the applicability of numerical GPs to classical time-stepping methods like linear multi-step methods and Runge-Kutta schemes, both of which are pivotal in solving differential equations.

Numerical Demonstrations

The authors validate the efficacy of their approach through several benchmark problems involving linear and nonlinear operators. Notably, in the example of Burgers' equation—a nonlinear PDE—the method is shown to effectively handle the solution's uncertainty propagation due to noisy initial data. The numerical experiments demonstrate that numerical GPs match the expected temporal convergence properties when applied to test problems like the wave and heat equations. These examples highlight the method’s robustness against the challenges posed by complex PDEs typically involving non-linear operators and mixed boundary conditions.

Implications and Future Work

The results underscore the potential of numerical GPs to resolve the intricate balance between data fidelity and model structure while preserving computational feasibilities. The implications of these methodologies are manifold:

  1. Theoretical Implications: They introduce new paradigms in probabilistic modeling of PDEs, offering insights into uncertainty quantification and encoding of prior physical knowledge into machine learning models.
  2. Practical Implications: From a computational standpoint, the method proposes a feasible approach to solve PDEs without laborious spatial discretization, which can be advantageous in high-dimensional applications such as fluid dynamics.

The authors propose future work exploring more efficient computational strategies such as recursive Kalman updates and variational inference to mitigate the cubic scaling associated with Gaussian process methodologies. Further exploration of probabilistic time integration schemes could extend their framework to broader classes of time-dependent systems. Additionally, investigating theoretical aspects like prior consistency and posterior robustness will deepen the theoretical grounding of this approach.

In conclusion, the paper presents a significant stride towards integrating probabilistic numerics with classical PDE solvers, showcasing a novel intersection of two robust fields—numerical analysis and machine learning. This intersection is likely to inspire further innovations in data-driven modeling and analysis of complex dynamical systems.