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Simple, Robust and Optimal Ranking from Pairwise Comparisons (1512.08949v2)

Published 30 Dec 2015 in cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.IT, math.IT, and stat.ML

Abstract: We consider data in the form of pairwise comparisons of n items, with the goal of precisely identifying the top k items for some value of k < n, or alternatively, recovering a ranking of all the items. We analyze the Copeland counting algorithm that ranks the items in order of the number of pairwise comparisons won, and show it has three attractive features: (a) its computational efficiency leads to speed-ups of several orders of magnitude in computation time as compared to prior work; (b) it is robust in that theoretical guarantees impose no conditions on the underlying matrix of pairwise-comparison probabilities, in contrast to some prior work that applies only to the BTL parametric model; and (c) it is an optimal method up to constant factors, meaning that it achieves the information-theoretic limits for recovering the top k-subset. We extend our results to obtain sharp guarantees for approximate recovery under the Hamming distortion metric, and more generally, to any arbitrary error requirement that satisfies a simple and natural monotonicity condition.

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Authors (2)
  1. Nihar B. Shah (73 papers)
  2. Martin J. Wainwright (141 papers)
Citations (168)

Summary

Overview of "Simple, Robust and Optimal Ranking from Pairwise Comparisons" Paper

This paper presents an in-depth analysis of ranking methods based on pairwise comparisons of nn items. The primary objective is to either identify the top kk items or to recover a full ranking of the items. The authors focus on the Copeland counting algorithm, which ranks items based on the number of pairwise comparisons won.

Key Features of the Copeland Counting Algorithm

  1. Computational Efficiency: The Copeland counting algorithm is noted for its computational efficiency, providing several orders of magnitude speed-ups over previous methods.
  2. Robustness: The algorithm does not require any assumptions on the matrix of pairwise comparison probabilities, unlike other methods which are often limited by specific parametric models such as the Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model.
  3. Optimality: The algorithm achieves information-theoretic limits for recovering the top kk-subset, up to constant factors.

Theoretical Contributions

The paper provides sharp guarantees for approximate recovery under the Hamming distortion metric and extends results to accommodate a general set of error conditions satisfying a monotonicity criterion. The authors present:

  • Exact Recovery: Conditions under which the Copeland counting algorithm can exactly recover the top kk items with high probability.
  • Approximate Recovery: Analysis of recovery under approximate conditions, particularly using the Hamming error metric, which allows a bounded number of incorrect item rankings.
  • General Set Recovery: A framework to treat recovery problems influenced by different ranking requirements in a unified manner.

Numerical and Empirical Results

The paper presents a comprehensive set of numerical simulations and real-world data evaluations from the Amazon Mechanical Turk platform. The results underscore the superior performance of the Copeland counting algorithm compared to the Spectral Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) algorithm in various settings:

  • Synthetic Data Simulations: Demonstrated robust performance across different pairwise comparison models (including non-transitive and mixture models), with zero error rates where applicable.
  • Real-World Data Experiments: Evaluated the algorithm's accuracy on tasks with known ground truths, showing consistently better results than Spectral MLE.

Implications and Future Directions

The simplicity, computational efficiency, and robustness of the Copeland counting algorithm make it highly adaptable for diverse ranking problems without stringent model constraints. The results suggest practical applications in areas like consumer choice modeling, tournament standings, and broad preferential voting systems.

Future work could explore models with adaptive sampling of comparisons, investigate partial or total order recovery problems, and extend the framework to active selection of comparison pairs, enhancing real-time decision-making in applied contexts.

In summary, the paper reinforces the efficacy of straightforward approaches in complex computational settings, providing a scalable solution for ranking efficacy across assorted domains.