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Influence maximization in complex networks through optimal percolation (1506.08326v1)

Published 27 Jun 2015 in physics.soc-ph, cond-mat.dis-nn, and cs.SI

Abstract: The whole frame of interconnections in complex networks hinges on a specific set of structural nodes, much smaller than the total size, which, if activated, would cause the spread of information to the whole network [1]; or, if immunized, would prevent the diffusion of a large scale epidemic [2,3]. Localizing this optimal, i.e. minimal, set of structural nodes, called influencers, is one of the most important problems in network science [4,5]. Despite the vast use of heuristic strategies to identify influential spreaders [6-14], the problem remains unsolved. Here, we map the problem onto optimal percolation in random networks to identify the minimal set of influencers, which arises by minimizing the energy of a many-body system, where the form of the interactions is fixed by the non-backtracking matrix [15] of the network. Big data analyses reveal that the set of optimal influencers is much smaller than the one predicted by previous heuristic centralities. Remarkably, a large number of previously neglected weakly-connected nodes emerges among the optimal influencers. These are topologically tagged as low-degree nodes surrounded by hierarchical coronas of hubs, and are uncovered only through the optimal collective interplay of all the influencers in the network. Eventually, the present theoretical framework may hold a larger degree of universality, being applicable to other hard optimization problems exhibiting a continuous transition from a known phase [16].

Citations (990)

Summary

  • The paper introduces a novel method by mapping influence maximization onto optimal percolation to identify minimal sets of influential nodes.
  • It employs the non-backtracking matrix and Collective Influence algorithm to adaptively determine key nodes in large, complex networks.
  • Empirical results demonstrate that the method outperforms traditional centrality measures in fragmenting both synthetic and real-world networks.

Influence Maximization in Complex Networks through Optimal Percolation

The paper by Flaviano Morone and Herna A. Makse addresses a pivotal challenge in network science: identifying the minimal set of nodes that maximizes influence spreading within a network. This problem is intrinsically complex, largely due to the intricate interactions between nodes and the exponential scaling properties of networks which render it NP-hard. The authors propose an innovative solution by mapping this problem onto the domain of optimal percolation in random networks.

Structural Nodes and Influence Spreading

The core of the research examines the structural role of nodes in complex networks and identifies a minimal set of key nodes—termed "influencers"—whose activation results in widespread information dissemination. Conversely, immunizing these nodes can prevent large-scale information or epidemic diffusion. Prior heuristic methods have attempted to identify these nodes based on various centrality measures, yet they fail to guarantee global optimality in influence spreading.

The Non-Backtracking Matrix Approach

A significant contribution of the paper is the use of the non-backtracking (NB) matrix to tackle the influence maximization problem. Traditional adjacency or Laplacian matrices have been employed in network analysis, but they fall short when dealing with the intricacies of node influence. The NB matrix addresses this shortcoming by focusing on non-redundant traversal paths in networks, making it particularly suitable for capturing the essential connectivity properties that facilitate influence spread.

The NB matrix is defined on directed edges rather than nodes, helping encapsulate the many-body interactions in a network. To identify the optimal set of influencers, Morone and Makse use a scalable algorithm they call Collective Influence (CI). This CI algorithm systematically removes nodes based on their influence score, recalculating the network structure adaptively to reach an optimal fragmentation.

The Collective Optimization Algorithm

The CI algorithm's brilliance lies in its adaptability and efficacy. The algorithm evaluates the collective influence of each node by calculating the impact of its removal on the network's largest connected component. This recursive and adaptive methodology ensures that the most influential nodes are identified, even when they are not the most connected (or central) initially. These "weak-nodes," which emerge as crucial influencers, are often overlooked by traditional centrality measures.

Empirical Validation

The paper validates the proposed method through extensive empirical analyses on synthetic and real-world networks. Remarkably, the CI algorithm consistently outperforms traditional methods—such as high-degree, PageRank, and k-core—especially on large-scale networks like the Twitter mention network and Mexico’s mobile phone call network.

For instance, applying CI to the Twitter mention network reveals that many users with high connectivity do not significantly impact the network's overall connectivity when removed. Instead, CI identifies less obvious nodes which, when removed, cause a more substantial fragmentation of the network.

Practical and Theoretical Implications

Theoretical implications of this work include a deeper understanding of network resilience and robustness, applicable to various domains from social media influence campaigns to epidemiology. Practically, this research provides a robust foundation for developing targeted marketing strategies, optimizing immunization programs, and enhancing infrastructure resilience against targeted attacks.

Future Developments in AI and Network Science

The framework established in this paper lays the groundwork for several future research directions. The algorithm's scalability positions it well for integration with real-time analytics in dynamic networks, where node interactions and connectivity evolve rapidly. Additionally, combining the CI algorithm with machine learning techniques could further refine the identification of influencers by incorporating temporal and contextual data.

Explorations into the optimal percolation approach can also extend beyond social and contact networks, potentially impacting transportation, communication, and power grids. These networks share similar structural properties where critical nodes (hubs) can significantly affect overall functionality and connectivity.

Conclusion

Morone and Makse’s research presents a methodologically rigorous and practically scalable solution to a fundamental problem in network science. By leveraging the properties of the non-backtracking matrix and developing the CI algorithm, this work pushes forward our capability to manage and influence complex networks effectively. The insights gained have broad implications, from enhancing disease outbreak control strategies to optimizing the spread of information in social networks.