Approximations for the number of maxima and near-maxima in independent data (2505.06088v1)

Abstract: In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case where $X$ is discrete) or the number of observations within a given distance of an order statistic of the sample (in the case where $X$ is absolutely continuous). The logarithmic and Poisson distributions are used as approximations in the discrete case, with proofs which include the development of Stein's method for a logarithmic target distribution. In the absolutely continuous case our approximations are by the negative binomial distribution, and are established by considering negative binomial approximation for mixed binomials. The cases where $X$ is geometric, Gumbel and uniform are used as illustrative examples.